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Synthetic recovery

Mastery Gate Convergence

Mastery Gate Convergence · Infrastructure Validation

T1T2T3T4T5

All five gates passed

Gate convergence within 0.01 of design threshold

T1 RealityT2 BootstrapT3 InvariantsT4 LedgerT5 Two calculators
θ̂ = 0.847Gate convergence threshold recovered
θ = 0.850 (design threshold)Published value
[0.839, 0.855]95% confidence interval
200Simulated students
40Items

Description

Infrastructure validation: the 4-stream mastery gate should converge to the known design threshold of θ = 0.85. The engine triggered the gate at θ̂ = 0.847, within 0.01 of the design target.

Methodology

Simulated 200 learners across 40 items with a 4-stream mastery gate designed to fire at θ = 0.85. The four streams (accuracy, consistency, transfer, retention) each contributed to the composite threshold.

Reference

Internal infrastructure validation. No external reference.

This is a synthetic recovery, not a replication of the original study. A known effect was planted into a simulated learner population and the engine attempted to recover it. Discrepancies between recovered and published values reflect differences between idealized simulation conditions and real-world field conditions, not engine error.